Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.008893 0.010491 0.012418 0.014951 0.018256 0.022510 0.028557
2025-08-31 0.006937 0.008844 0.011420 0.015292 0.021234 0.030531 0.047459
2025-09-07 0.005684 0.007586 0.010341 0.014854 0.022603 0.036647 0.068190
2025-09-14 0.004813 0.006632 0.009398 0.014226 0.023265 0.041763 0.092089
2025-09-21 0.004297 0.006091 0.008940 0.014216 0.024956 0.049853 0.134115
2025-09-28 0.004008 0.005841 0.008885 0.014871 0.028212 0.063908 0.224504
2025-10-05 0.003868 0.005801 0.009163 0.016227 0.033672 0.089360 0.469320
2025-10-12 0.003644 0.005584 0.009078 0.016807 0.037567 0.115061 0.950538
2025-10-19 0.003358 0.005223 0.008660 0.016541 0.039036 0.133816 1.720693
2025-10-26 0.003156 0.004984 0.008442 0.016684 0.041866 0.164493 4.239891
2025-11-02 0.002937 0.004691 0.008071 0.016367 0.043083 0.189666 10.954275
2025-11-09 0.002685 0.004313 0.007480 0.015372 0.041497 0.194546 20.541234
2025-11-16 0.002456 0.003976 0.006973 0.014603 0.040881 0.210644 84.505434
2025-11-23 0.002337 0.003840 0.006880 0.014938 0.044939 0.283324 NaN
2025-11-30 0.002177 0.003607 0.006543 0.014514 0.045634 0.329269 NaN
2025-12-07 0.002021 0.003370 0.006169 0.013905 0.045207 0.363589 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001922 0.003236 0.006010 0.013895 0.047729 0.465195 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001871 0.003195 0.006056 0.014530 0.054234 0.734224 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001859 0.003230 0.006287 0.015843 0.066402 1.578569 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001806 0.003175 0.006292 0.016404 0.074837 3.008459 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001719 0.003041 0.006083 0.016147 0.077153 4.387657 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001657 0.002955 0.005986 0.016285 0.083067 8.585994 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001581 0.002834 0.005785 0.015978 0.084946 14.091148 NaN